How a hockey moneyline works
You pick a team to win. That is the whole bet. The favorite carries a minus number, the underdog a plus number, and the gap between them tells you how strongly the market rates one side over the other.
The detail that matters in hockey is what “win” means. On the standard two-way line, the game is graded on its final result, so overtime and the shootout count. A team that blows a two-goal lead, ties it with a second left and then wins the shootout still pays its backers. Since the NHL moved to 3-on-3 overtime in 2015-16, extra time has become a small game of its own, fast and random, and it decides a meaningful slice of every season: 24.9% of 2025-26 games were level after 60 minutes.
Most US sportsbooks list the two-way NHL moneyline as the default and tuck the three-way version into an “alternate” or “regulation” tab. Read the market name before you click, because the two settle differently on exactly those games.
Reading -150 and +130 as probabilities
Every American price converts to an implied probability. For a minus price, divide the number by itself plus 100. For a plus price, divide 100 by the number plus 100. So a -150 favorite implies 60.0% and a +130 underdog implies 43.5%.
Add the two and you get 103.5%. The amount above 100% is the margin the sportsbook keeps, often called the vig or juice. To see what the market really believes, scale both sides down until they sum to 100%: the favorite becomes 58.0% and the underdog 42.0%. That no-vig number is the one to hold up against your own estimate. If you think the underdog wins 46% of the time, +130 looks interesting. If you think 40%, it does not, however tempting the payout reads.
The odds converter does this in one step for any pair of prices.
What the win data says about NHL moneylines
The board above is a reminder of how compressed hockey is. Colorado Avalanche topped the league at 67.1% of games won, and Vancouver Canucks sat at the bottom with 30.5%. In football or basketball the best team can win four games in five. In the NHL, even the best side loses roughly a third of the time, which is why heavy favorites priced past -250 are rare outside lopsided matchups.
Home ice shows up, but modestly. Home teams won 52.2% of 2025-26 games. The split is uneven across teams: Boston Bruins won 70.7% at home against 39.0% on the road, the widest gap in the league. A gap that size over 41 games each way is partly noise, so treat it as a question to look into rather than a rule.
Two-way and three-way moneylines
The three-way line splits the game into three outcomes after 60 minutes: home, away or tie. Because the tie takes a share of the probability, both team prices get longer than on the two-way line. A favorite at -150 on the two-way might sit near +105 three-way, and the tie usually lands somewhere around +300 to +350.
Our numbers give a baseline for that tie price. With 24.9% of 2025-26 games level after regulation, a fair price before margin is about +302. Anything well below that is the book charging a heavy premium for the draw. Games between two defensive teams with strong goalies tie more often than the league rate, and games with a big talent gap tie less.
One honest drawback: three-way markets carry a bigger margin than the two-way line, since the book prices three outcomes instead of two. It is the right tool when you want a team to win in regulation, and a poor one if all you care about is who wins.
Home ice, rest and the goalie
The starting goalie moves an NHL moneyline more than almost any other single piece of news. A backup in net can push a favorite from -170 to -140 within minutes of the confirmation. Check the starting goalies board before you bet, and expect the price to have moved already if the news is out.
Rest matters too. Teams on the second night of a back-to-back won 45.8% of those games in 2025-26, against 51.0% when they had at least a day off. Part of that drop is the goalie, because most teams start the backup in one half of a back-to-back. Then there is travel, which nobody has a clean number for: a team flying from Florida to Calgary for a 9 p.m. ET start is not the same as a team bussing from Philadelphia to New York.
For the bigger picture, the power rankings weigh form against last season, and tonight's slate lays out every game with goalies and rest side by side.
Moneyline or puck line
The two bets ask different questions. The moneyline asks who wins. The puck line asks who wins by two, and in 2025-26 only 56.8% of games ended with that margin. For a favorite, the -1.5 swaps a safer bet at a short price for a riskier one at a better price. For an underdog, +1.5 pays less than the moneyline but also wins on every one-goal loss.
Neither one is better in general. The useful habit is to convert both prices to probabilities and ask which one is further from what you believe. Teams that play a lot of tight, low-scoring games tend to be better value on the moneyline than at -1.5, simply because so many of their wins come by one goal or after regulation.
- Favorite in a likely tight game: moneyline over -1.5.
- Underdog with a strong goalie: +1.5 or the moneyline, compared on implied probability.
- You expect a regulation result: three-way line, accepting the larger margin.
The overtime rule runs under all of it. Our overtime and shootout guide covers how each market treats extra time, and the shootout in particular, which awards the winner a single goal no matter how many rounds it takes.